Windows 10 is getting great overall reviews and Microsoft says that the operating system is now installed on over 75 million devices four weeks after it launched on July 29. However, the research firm IDC predicts that Windows 10's release won't be enough to stop overall declines in PC shipments in both 2015 and 2016.
IDC now believes that shipments of PCs will decline in 2015 by 8.7% and again in 2016 by 1.1%, which if true would be five straight years of falling shipments. It added that while it previously thought the second quarter of 2015 would offer a "transition period" for PC makers to prepare for the Windows 10 launch, it now says that shipments for that quarter were lower than it first predicted, in part because of "a stubbornly large inventory of notebooks from prior quarters."
"In addition to economic issues, free upgrades of Windows 10, a relative dearth of newer models in the short term, and channels that are reluctant to take stock also makes the prospect of growth unlikely through 2016. Perhaps as a further sign of a broader pullback, mobile devices can no longer be the sole culprit for PCs demise. Except for smartphones, which are still growing, the combined volume of PCs, tablets, and smartphones is expected to grow only in the single digits from 2015 through 2019 as saturation and "good enough computing" sentiments spread even into tablets, which are expected to see further volume decline in 2015."
It's important to note that these are just IDC's predictions and they could prove to be wrong or either side. Do you think PC shipments will keep going down in the next two years? Let us know your thoughts in the comments.