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Bing's 2016 Election Center picking up state primary and caucus vote predictions

Bing is once again offering predictions for the outcome of major national events, this time for the U.S. primary elections and the Iowa Caucus taking place in February. Primary predictions will soon be added to the existing Bing Political Index, and Microsoft is now previewing its early results for both Republican and Democrats.

Primary voting kicks off on Feb. 1 with the Iowa Caucus, where Donald Trump is currently predicted to win the Republican caucus with 39.8% of the vote, with Ted Cruz taking 30.5%. Trump is, in fact, expected to win all four Republican primaries in February, including New Hampshire on Feb. 9 with 40.2%, South Carolina on Feb. 20 with 44.3%, and the Feb. 20 Nevada primary with 39.6%.

Over to the Democrats, Hillary Clinton is projected to win the Iowa Democratic caucus with 50.1% of the vote. Sen. Bernie Sanders is predicted to win the New Hampshire primary by 58.4%. The Democratic Primary on Feb. 27 is currently predicted for Clinton at 63.5%. Clinton is also projected to win the Feb. 23 Nevada primary with 91.2% of the vote.

Bing is predicting these results through the use of Microsoft's machine-learning models. Data is gathered from polls, prediction markets, and anonymized search data. As with the rest of the Bing Political Index, which also features candidate profiles and a timeline, you'll be able to find these predictions by searching 'Election 2016' on Bing.

Source: Bing

32 Comments
  • I guess Bing isn't feeling the Bern?
  • In the eyes of many, Bernie is too far on the left to be the Democratic candidate.
  • And Hillary is too far right.  I liked O'Malley from what I've heard in the 3 debates I watched.  It's too bad he got even less exposure than Sanders.
  • Bernie Sanders is a joke just like Donald Trump.
  • Bernie is a man that cares more for the citizen than Donald Dump
  • I hope this isn't the case for Clinton. Go Bernie!
  • I would MUCH rather see Sanders than Clinton. Unfortunately, you're allowed to vote in this country without knowing a thing about the person you're voting for, so she's gonna get a massive womens vote, just because she's a woman.
  • As a very interested Canadian I do not have a horse in this race. However Bernie is basically unelectable. He has some great ideas for sure but he is way too left to ever win a general election. If the Dems bring him forward as their candidate they are pretty much assuring a GOP president. And the likley GOP candidates just look a little crazy IMHO. It's too bad but I think the candidates who actually make the most sense on both sides ie. Kasich and O'Malley aren't going to make it.
  • Bernie beats Hillary in every matchup against Republicans. Don't listen to the mainstream media.
  • Let's make this interesting. A joker and a trump card. Let's say this is the final call to save the world from a Muslim world order and stay sharia law free. That's a trump over a Joker hands down
  • Bernie is the one to vote for. Just go vote for your future people, do not let a racist homophobe like Donald Dump make you feel like Bernie will lose if he gets nominated. If all young people go and vote, both Hillary and Trump will lose
  • That Iowa caucus is pretty close. Anything can happen. I'm just stunned on how much support Clinton has among minorities. You would think that a guy like Bernie who isn't even a Millionaire would have more support since he is more representative of the struggle and thus, would be more beneficial to the minority cause.
  • I wonder if this system will actually change the way people vote...
  • It could. It may have people think that everyone will vote for so and so and cause them not to vote. Which then could cause their preditions to be wrong because less people are voting because their person isnt going to win. But I dont think it will by much.
  • Back in the U.S.S.A. (United Socialist States of America), go Bernie! Just kidding, as a liberty loving libertarian I can't imagine a worse situation than Bernie and Trump. Maybe I'll write in Dan Rubino. :)
  • Rand Paul 2016
  • How would Bernie destroy your liberties? By giving you healthcare and maternity leave?
  • "giving you healthcare and maternity leave".
    Have you really thought about the process by which the government "gives" you stuff? Write down the whole process, like a process flow. One step will be where you or your neighbor pay, or get their doors kicked in by the IRS. So, Crazy Uncle Bernie isn't "giving" you anything. You're using force to take it from someone. Sorry, but a process funded by threats, intimidation, and ultimately violence, doesn't sound like liberty to me.
  • How is making the top 1% (who own 60% of the wealth) help poor people get healthcare depriving you of liberty?
  • "Making" someone do something with threat, intimidation, and violence, is the exact opposite of liberty.   Liberty: the state of being free within society from oppressive restrictions imposed by authority on one's way of life, behavior, or political views.  It's fine if you support using federal force ("making") to make people adhere to your personal morality, but it definitely means you prefer forcing your point of view on people ("ends") more than personal choice or individual liberty.   Voting for Bernie is a vote for federal force or individual freedom.  That’s indisputable, so don't deceive yourself on that point. "The smallest minority on earth is the individual. Those who deny individual rights cannot claim to be defenders of minorities." - Ayn Rand  
  • I'm also libertarian. And I completely agree with your assessment.
  • To the contrary, Bernie will be the one to guarantee the rights of the american citizens. A bigot racist homophobe like Donald Dump will be the new Hitler
  • Kind of a weak lineup across the spectrum and strange polling data. Will be interesting to watch Bing's success rate.
  • Trump is love.
    Trump is life.
    Vote Trump! XD Posted via the Windows Central App for Android
  • that's actuallly quite funny! (seen from another perspective it's also terrifying)
  • Booh, see above for peace of mind
  • I know you're being sarcastic, but you DO seem like the kind of guy who would vote for Trump, DJCBS.
  • If people are okay with Bernie Sanders, then people should be okay with Donald Trump. But we are seeing people are not okay with Donald Trump but people are okay with Bernie Sanders. People would rather have a socialist America.. I would love to see Ted Cruz wins the presidency!
  • Trump and Sanders are not comparable. Ted Cruz? That's laughable.
  • Cruz is spelled creep in a psychology book
  • Of course people are ok with Sanders. Trump just cares for the millionaires and billionaires and when his tax cuts for them will drain the budget even more, he will just raise the rest of the taxes, which will affect the rest of the people. The same with affordable college education which the republicans will never give you. Then there is the racism problem that will not be solved when most of the republicans are white supremacists and too conservative to allow certain liberties
  • We came, we saw, she lost.