Cortana predicted 15 of 16 World Cup matches correctly

Cortana predicted 15 of 16 World Cup matches correctly

Earlier today, we asked if you thought Windows Phone digital assistant Cortana would accurately predict the final game of the World Cup with Germany playing against Argentina, and as it turns out Cortana's prediction was correct with a German win. "Thanks to Bing, Cortana has accurately predicted the winner in 15 out of 16 games of those popular soccer matches (a perfect bracket in the knockout rounds)," Microsoft said.

To help its near-accurate predictions, Cortana relied on the power of Bing to help it analyze how each team will perform. Though the World Cup pertains to soccer, it would be interesting to see how Cortana will be able to predict wins and losses in other sports.

This is how the magic of Cortana works:

It looks at the strength of each team through a variety of factors such as previous wins/losses/ties in qualification matches, other international competitions and margin of the victories in these competitions. Then other adjustments are made related to other factors that might give a team advantages over others like home field advantage (for Brazil), proximity (for South American teams like finalist Argentina), playing surface (hybrid grass), game-time weather conditions, and other factors. The data can also be tuned based on win/lose/tie probabilities captured by the people wagering on the outcomes. This model doesn't rely more heavily on any one element but rather has the advantage of dynamically and continuously adapting up until game time in an innovative way to give users the best possible prediction.

Are you impressed with Cortana's performance? Do you think Cortana will make users of Siri and Google Now switch to Windows Phone to experience the power and ease of Microsoft's digital assistant?

Source: Microsoft


Reader comments

Cortana predicted 15 of 16 World Cup matches correctly


No she didn't, she predicted brazil to win, i would've placed my money on them as well if im honest, but they did quite poorly this year.

Probably The Netherlands vs Argentina. Netherlands should have won that! Including the final against germany... But well... things happen.

I was shocked to see Cortana predicted a win for Argentina but she was right en ja ik ben een oranje fan

Spijtiggenoeg was Italië zielig de laatste 2 wereldbekers. Maar Nederland had hem al in 2010 moeten winnen ....... En ook dit jaar ..... Shit happens zeker ...

CORTANA IS AWESOME! Windows Phone fans we have our hero feature! We're just seeing the start of what Cortana is going to bring! She's going to be the lynchpin that ties Microsoft's devices and services together. Keep an eye out for what's coming down the line. Let our Android and iOS friends know how Awesome she is.
Get this, I used her to set up an appt in front of a friend today and she stated how CORTANA is better than Siri! She shared freely that Cortana was better at understanding and how that for Siri you have to say things multiple times! People just need to see/hear her in action!
Another person, I teach Sunday school, so I told a student to use Siri to remind her to study her lesson, no surprise I suppose, she stated she doesn't use Siri! Many folks don't find her useful!
I think many of us with Cortana use her not just for the novelty and fun, she is actually REALLY USEFUL!

Cortana is the Future and that's Not All Talk

Cortana Windows Phone Digital Assistant From the Future Predicts World Cup

It got the 3rd place game wrong, which is kinda excusable given the Brazil team should have been favoured given their history at home. You can never predict how seriously a team will take a game that they had no real benefit for winning.

i asked here earlier today because i was showing her off to a friend of mine. We talked about taking her to the casino too lol

Even she will have a hard time helping you win when the odds of winning anything is like 1 in 13 million (for the UK lottery anyway)

I am :)

Maybe. I think she has definitely caught attention! Especially for Halo fans Windows Phone is a lot more popular now

Ha ha, that's funny... It was Germany vs Germany. Argentinians' think they are German too... Of course, not all of them.

And I'm very glad she was wrong that one time =P


Also...why aren't there yet rumours that Microsoft rigged the World Cup to promote Cortana? No one came up with that yet? I'm disappointed at the rumour mills...

No. it's 'Internet and I are not talking right now!' crap... drives me nuts. I was at the West Point (the military academy) last Sat. I asked Cortana for directions back to Westchester, what should have been a 45 min drive, turned out to be 3 hour drive 'coz she made a convuluted route going upstate NY and coming back for 218 miles. don't know who to blame.. was it Cortana or Nokia drive+. my wife got the same route too in her 925. luckily I noticed I'm heading in the wrong direction 10 mins into the drive. 

well there's still a lot of issues to be ironed out with Cortana. 15 out of 16 predictions right is indeed impressive.

Yeah sorry. I was paraphrasing, not having Cortina in the UK. I tryied it by region hacking and 75% of the time I wasn't on WiFi I got that. Even sending a text message. At least compose the thing for me now and send it when you and the internet ARE on speaking terms.

"Go and get your bag out of the car"

"But it's out of gas"

Typical woman logic.


I'm sure the one she got wrong was on purpose so people don't think there was cheating in the game, and the results were already planned xD

LOL! If Cortana got it all correct, trolls would probably be saying now that Microsoft rigged WC to sell Cortana.

Now people will buy windows phone only for talking with Cortana after her 15 out of 16 correct prediction. Go Cortana.

Google missed two, France vs Germany and Brazil vs Netherlands (This one Cortana got wrong too)

Oh so Google also got the Brazil vs Netherlands game wrong! Now I now why there were not that many trolls dissing Cortana's error predicting the Brazil vs Netherland match!

When she goes over to the Xbox One she will really be used for the original vision of the console. Used with EA Sports games and others, she will predict your fantasy players performance and such.

It's not that difficult to predict. For most of the games it was clear who was going to win. I had 13/16 predicted matches good.

always amazed by those mathmaticial models for prediction in social/ecomonic area. cortana is like Charlie from Numb3rs now, what next? my PhD defence questions? :d

I remember my final oral exam like it was yesterday (it most definitely wasn't :)). Kind of hard on the old nervous system, but damn what an awesome feeling when I got the thumbs up! Good luck!

Posted via the WPC App for Android!

He learned that from the south american countries....  good thing to battle them with their own weapons ;)  And I'd like to add that both Brasil and Argentina played some really ugly football trying to hurt their opponents instead of making the game... Netherlands should have made the finals: IMHO it was the ONLY team that showed a real winning spirit and rose above itself!

And yeah....I'm dutch  

As long Cortana is kept with-in the windows ecosystem it would be a compelling reason to switch. If MS make cortana available on ios and android then there would be no more compelling and unique experiences to make users to switch.

All this praise for Cortana is honestly bullshit, all it did was predict the heavyweight for each matchup and the one it got wrong it did the same thing...Argentina upset Netherlands, who was once again the heavyweight

I think will not be enough to make Android and IOS user shift to WP not until Cortana available for every country

At the 2014 World Cup Paul the Octopus predicted ALL his matches correctly.  I hope Paul comes to Windows Phone before the next World Cup.

Actually he only predicted for 8 matches. Cortana did for 16, got 15 right. And we all know it was the Brazilians who lost, not the Dutch who won. ;)

There's a conspiracy theory that says Cortana is actually from the future and knew the result of every match. She deliberately got one wrong to put us off her trail. :P

Figures. The one match she gets wrong is the one match I bet the farm on. Now I'm indebted to loan sharks. Thanks a lot, Cortana! Siri never would've done this to me and my family!

Knowing MS this news will only be known to hardcore fans while Google,who also got 15\16,will market this result like hell

Posted via the WPC App for Android!

I have both iOS and windows phone, for this time cortana win than siri, I don't speak english as my native language but cortana respond and listening every words correctly than siri.. this is my opinion.

Okay, okay all those who trust Cortana's judgment rise your hand...and see the next generation stockbrokers has arisen....or maybe future racetrack gamblers ;)