Bing Predicts engine enters the eSports fray with Dota 2 tournament picks

Dota 2
Dota 2

Microsoft's Bing Predicts engine is expanding its reach once again, as it will enter the eSports industry by trying to predict the outcome of matches in Dota 2's The International 2016.

In case you are unfamiliar with Dota 2, it's the spiritual successor to DOTA, a multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) mod for Warcraft III that became a huge hit on its own. Valve, the creators of Half-Life and Portal, created the standalone game Dota 2 and it has become a massive hit on its Steam service, with over 1 million players online at one time during peak hours.

Valve has been holding The International tournament for Dota 2 pro players for several years now. The 2016 edition is being held this week in Seattle, from now until August 13. The winning team, out of the top 16 Dota 2 teams, will take home (and this is not a typo) over $8.8 million in cash, with a total prize pool of over $20 million up for grabs. The massive amount was funded by Dota 2 players themselves, via special in-app purchases.

In a blog post, Microsoft stated:

What sets Dota 2 apart from your typical sport (or eSports) is that team rosters constantly change. Players shuffle every three months, and because of this, it is hard for any team to stay at the top of their game for a year or longer. Even a few months can make all the difference.To account for the frequent lineup changes, we built a predictive model that tracks team performance as well as the career performance of individual players, based on in-game features (gold per minute, experience per minute, etc.) and external features (win rate, etc.). Players who are strong individually may not collaborate well, and while it is difficult to predict it before the players are paired together for the first time, our model computes changes in key statistics for each player and each team after a roster shuffle to quickly update predictions.

So who will win The International 2016? Bing Predicts claims that the team that will come out on top is EHOME. We will see if the engine can correctly predict the outcomes of the matches this week.

John Callaham
  • Dota 2 fans here?
  • How to do a raise hand emoji on PC?
  • I actually found that you can add the keyboard icon to your system tray even with a touchscreen. It's just not automatically turned on. Then you can use it to enter emojis with your mouse.
  • oh yeah I forgot about that. Thanks! Watching Dota2 Live stream rn :)
  • You're welcome! And if course I meant * without* a touchscreen but you probably figured that out.
  • Yep! :)
  • moi!
  • Yup.
  • *raises hand*
  • Yessss,and i just watched first game,mvp played just awesome
  • Ehome? Really?
  • 1st place in group stage. Easy predict. Just now the game 1 of main event was so awesome and the biggest upset so far. Well just 1 game of best of 3. Bad thing is that I have to go sleep now as it is very late on the other side of the globe. Will watch all recaps tmrw.
  • Heart holds out for Alliance, but yeh, EHome will get top3, easy.
  • I was wondering when bing would do this. Now just waiting for CS GO :)
  • LoL>Dota
    *grabs popcorn*
  • Thanks for explaining what MOBA stands for. I still had to go "look up" what DotA is... For anyone else wondering, it's "Defense of the Ancients" (thanks, Cortana!)... Seriously, was anyone else just as clueless as me reading this article? Even after reading the article?
  • I had to look it up too.  I hate acronyms.  #IHA ?
  • Sorry to confuse you even more but... The dota in Dota 2 doesn't technically stand for defense of the ancients... Because it's a blizzard custom game. Valve wanted to make sure there's no association in any of the names, including the name of the game. So, in short dota in dota 2 isn't short for anything... Officially. Posted via the Windows Central App for Android
  • Thanks for that! Actually, that got me curious. I'd highly recommend this page on Wikipedia that goes into the history in detail. Fascinating stuff!
  • I would actually reallty love to hear what someone like Thooorin has to say about the algorithm they use. He's not exactly a DotA-"fan", but the basics of the algorithms should translate to CS:GO.
  • Not to mention patches t hat changes heros, items and expgains. One team can OWN one patch and be complete crap the second patch.
  • Huh... First article about Dota2 in years, all I see is that evreyone playing League of Legends. Since it's more popular than football these days.